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기후변화에 따른 제주도에 적합한 조경식재수종 예측

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Author(s)
정소영
Issued Date
2021
URI
https://dcoll.jejunu.ac.kr/common/orgView/000000010247
Abstract
In this study, based on the current distribution point of representative landscape trees that have been introduced and distributed in Jeju Island, the future climate suitability of the climate change scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 was confirmed using the MaxEnt model. Among the major landscaping trees classified as evergreen narrow leaved trees, evergreen broad-leaved trees, and deciduous broad-leaved trees, the results of 18 species were analyzed, and each species was investigated and cross-analyzed in consideration of the climate characteristics of Jeju Island.
Until now, there were no systematic standards and directions for judging the suitable area for planting of landscape trees, but climate suitability and vulnerability due to wind were investigated in accordance with climate change scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 for 18 representative landscape trees. This will be able to suggest an efficient management direction for currently planted trees, and it is believed that it will contribute to rational decision-making in selecting the tree species to be planted in the future. However, since the distribution data of the target tree species was created based only on the collected evidence samples, the sample for which the distribution was not confirmed represents the limitation of this study, and only the four factors that have the most influence on the survival and growth of trees Although it was selected as an environmental variable, it will be helpful for more accurate prediction if variables such as seasonal temperature fluctuations and short-term rainfall are also considered by the properties of trees.
Alternative Title
Prediction of suitable tree species for landscape planting under climate change in Jeju Island
Affiliation
제주대학교 산업대학원
Department
산업대학원 친환경농학과
Advisor
김주성
Awarded Date
2021. 8
Table Of Contents
Ⅰ. 서 론 01
Ⅱ. 연구사 04
1. 조경식재계획 04
2. 수목선정의 적정성 04
3. 기후변화에 대응한 식물 05
4. 기후변화 시나리오 09
5. 종분포모형을 활용한 연구 12
Ⅲ. 연구목적 14
Ⅳ. 연구범위 및 방법 15
1. 연구대상과 범위 15
1) 연구대상 15
2) 연구범위 16
2. 자료의 구축 16
1) 위치자료(종속변수) 16
2) 기후자료(환경변수) 18
3. 연구방법 19
Ⅴ. 연구결과 및 고찰 20
1. 수종별 개별모형의 평가 20
2. 기후적합지 변화예측 21
1) 상록침엽수 21
2) 상록활엽수 22
3) 낙엽활엽수 24
3. 기후변화전망과 연관성 분석 25
1) 연평균기온 26
2) 연평균 일최고기온 27
3) 연평균 일최저기온 27
4) 연강수량 28
4. 바람의 영향을 고려한 적합수종 선정 32
5. 결과종합 33
6. 연구의 한계 및 향후 발전방향 35
Ⅵ. 결 론 36
Ⅶ. 적 요 38
인용문헌 40
부 록 46
Degree
Master
Publisher
제주대학교 산업대학원
Citation
정소영. (2021). 기후변화에 따른 제주도에 적합한 조경식재수종 예측
Type
Dissertation
Appears in Collections:
Graduate School of Industry > Ecofriendly Agricultural Science
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